TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e0a…f994

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
26
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Dota2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 55 out of 100; worst Valorant at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Guara Esports vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Group Dbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$82.84
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.8
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$84.01
Counter-Strike: BESTIA Academy vs MAGICOS (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked MAGICOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.39
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Procyon Gaming (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Procyon Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked MASQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MASQ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Playoffsbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+55.7%+$27.86
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$130
Counter-Strike: Acend vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs eternal premium (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Bbacked ex-Sashi Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$89.64
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs PCIFIC - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Millennium Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Millennium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$100.92
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$57.1
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Novaq - Map 1 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.25
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$104.67
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.29
All 19 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+83.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43%+$41.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.