CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8180af6e0baa91558e2471f0696fb3536f2c92afec00e1d9918e74291369c6fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Prestigeof Prestige, MASQ
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed MASQ | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked MASQ | 53c | 450.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MASQ | 40c | 391.23$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.63 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Prestige | 58c | 387.07$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.12 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Prestige | 59c | 380.89$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MASQ | 41c | 306.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Prestige | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Prestige | 59c | 287$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.67 | 259 | 44.8%116 W · 143 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MASQ | 8c | 274$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked MASQ | 48c | 226.31$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.76 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked MASQ | 49c | 208.26$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Prestige | 57c | 152.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.63 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed MASQ | 55c | 135$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.89 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked MASQ | 41c | 119.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Prestige | 60c | 116.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked Prestige | 50c | 115$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked MASQ | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e99…0a26backed Prestige | 57c | 108$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked MASQ | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked MASQ | 39c | 100.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…f994backed MASQ | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed MASQ | 46c | 91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Prestige | 42c | 81.58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed MASQ | 41c | 71.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Prestige | 50c | 62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf868…3b45backed Prestige | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…2d85backed Prestige | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed MASQ | 34c | 52.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Prestige | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Prestige | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Prestige | 59c | 44.86$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked MASQ | 44c | 41.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Prestige | 41c | 35.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked MASQ | 46c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 271 | 56.8%154 W · 117 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Prestige | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ (BO3) - United21 PlayoffsPrestige won
- Counter-Strike: Prestige vs MASQ - Map 2 WinnerPrestige won
- Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs MASQ (+1.5)Prestige won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.