Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa32529d7b485df79ee0814eab309378ca1648d20f5455d40627fed576088014d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Ozarox Esports, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,271
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,271 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed Ozarox Esports | 79c | 2,656$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.91 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x202f…7b58backed Team Phoenix | 20c | 2,098$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.18 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 1,577$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Team Phoenix | 20c | 1,203$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.91 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Phoenix | 27c | 661.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Ozarox Esports | 69c | 592.73$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.89 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…9384backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 368.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.42 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Team Phoenix | 19c | 274.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 23cpaid | +355.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Phoenix | 18c | 250.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.54 | 256 | 40.6%104 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…7fefbacked Team Phoenix | 20c | 238.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.74 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xae0d…a507backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 169.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.03 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Team Phoenix | 15c | 152.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.95 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Phoenix | 32c | 147.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.85 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Ozarox Esports | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Ozarox Esports | 76c | 118.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 90.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.18 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Ozarox Esports | 80c | 79.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 94 | 61.7%58 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed Ozarox Esports | 74c | 74.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 64 | 14.1%9 W · 55 L | -16.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Team Phoenix | 18c | 58.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed Ozarox Esports | 78c | 19.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8634…1b5bbacked Ozarox Esports | 75c | 16.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonTeam Phoenix won
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.