Lol · resolved market
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfccef66cee0968703e6efc5c82da526a978f524095e4d79f974b5fc3e649074d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Phoenixof Ozarox Esports, Team Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd975…8c73backed Team Phoenix | 12c | 27,788$3,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,562.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +175%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Ozarox Esports | 0c | 15,114$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Phoenix | 15c | 7,229$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,153.08 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 2,762$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.07 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +12.8wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.57 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 912$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.32 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Team Phoenix | 52c | 800$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 160 | 48.1%77 W · 83 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Team Phoenix | 13c | 794.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.75 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed Ozarox Esports | 3c | 786.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.29 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Phoenix | 14c | 560.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.24 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked Ozarox Esports | 47c | 450.01$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked Team Phoenix | 14c | 419.64$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.94 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Team Phoenix | 19c | 383.03$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.79 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e68…58f2backed Team Phoenix | 33c | 372.95$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.5 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +8.2wins | +0.26per pick | 48cpaid | +61%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Ozarox Esports | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 500 | 55.4%277 W · 223 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Team Phoenix | 11c | 218.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.1 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Team Phoenix | 9c | 169.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.3 | 437 | 39.8%174 W · 263 L | -23.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Ozarox Esports | 45c | 107.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 274 | 65.7%180 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed Team Phoenix | 13c | 98.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.11 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21dd…0b83backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 93.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Team Phoenix | 14c | 93.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Phoenix | 55c | 65.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 1,917 | 42.3%810 W · 1,107 L | -44.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Ozarox Esports | 32c | 49.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Team Phoenix | 64c | 38.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Team Phoenix | 73c | 36.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Ozarox Esports | 52c | 23.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 395 | 7.1%28 W · 367 L | -122.2wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: OZO (-1.5) vs Team Phoenix (+1.5)Team Phoenix won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonTeam Phoenix won
- LoL: Ozarox Esports vs Team Phoenix - Game 2 WinnerTeam Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.