Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36b277d98a5144a006d2ea6b830112b34f3c012737dc3f3848bccaca4d90824
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wichita State Shockers, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,748 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 2,923$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Wichita State Shockers | 47c | 997.13$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.66 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd485…5cacbacked Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 991.26$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…4fe6backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 981.35$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Wichita State Shockers | 18c | 894.95$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.09 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 525.81$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 378$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 370.98$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 260.73$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Wichita State Shockers | 45c | 198.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.22 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…e9f6backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 184.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wyoming Cowboys | 54c | 150.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 56c | 89.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wyoming Cowboys | 66c | 81.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 56.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 46.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Wichita State Shockers | 44c | 29.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Wichita State Shockers | 48c | 26.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)this page
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.