Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6224c3b97490b7fe4807317233cf8b6b99d9d1e54854142376c797f1d4a9950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wyoming Cowboysof Wichita State Shockers, Wyoming Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,774 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 571.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.96 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Wichita State Shockers | 52c | 529.43$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wyoming Cowboys | 50c | 440.51$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 150.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 145.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.89 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Wyoming Cowboys | 46c | 119.29$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.42 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Wyoming Cowboys | 47c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wyoming Cowboys | 48c | 72.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Wichita State Shockers | 49c | 50.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Wyoming Cowboys | 49c | 36.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Wichita State Shockers | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Wyoming Cowboys | 53c | 22.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-5.5)this page
- Spread: Wichita State Shockers (-6.5)Wyoming Cowboys won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State ShockersWichita State Shockers won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 147.5Under won
- Wyoming Cowboys vs. Wichita State Shockers: O/U 148.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.