Asian League · resolved market
Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa37492d11174b147d45099bc0452cdf202123d295e4bbefabc62d0be7092b87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 2,132$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.06 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 39c | 745.13$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.06 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 664.29$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.66 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 76c | 609.09$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.28 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 38c | 506.74$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.18 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 421$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 405.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 62c | 340.5$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 43c | 301.95$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 63c | 293.34$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 70c | 236.75$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.02 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 76c | 175.07$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 40c | 127.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 39c | 126.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.71 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 49c | 79.13$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 67c | 53.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 58c | 50.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 69c | 49.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 38c | 48.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 38.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 34.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 63c | 30.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 30.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 64c | 25.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 78c | 25.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 62c | 21.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gwangju FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Anyang (-1.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.