CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ECSTATIC vs Eternal Fire (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa39ca4c11cfbe6dc474ea71bf73d9f6076bdc9a4c51eedeb539ca3b7372c4ea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof ECSTATIC, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,614 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked ECSTATIC | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 1,316$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.6 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 1,082$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.28 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 810.45$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ECSTATIC | 38c | 680.27$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ECSTATIC | 45c | 536.23$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed ECSTATIC | 47c | 388.25$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.09 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 59c | 289.92$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked ECSTATIC | 36c | 268$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…e81bbacked ECSTATIC | 25c | 202.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed ECSTATIC | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed ECSTATIC | 13c | 168.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 147.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.18 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 144.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 144.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 136.84$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…daf2backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 125$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb6…ba42backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 107.03$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 106.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.23 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed ECSTATIC | 29c | 101.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed ECSTATIC | 45c | 97.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…ce4fbacked ECSTATIC | 19c | 80.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Eternal Fire | 67c | 74.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked ECSTATIC | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Eternal Fire | 70c | 70.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Eternal Fire | 66c | 64.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 617 | 54.8%338 W · 279 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd2…7a82backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac4…3d75backed ECSTATIC | 35c | 54.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed ECSTATIC | 52c | 41.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa633…1cf7backed Eternal Fire | 66c | 40.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.93 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed ECSTATIC | 74c | 39.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 222 | 56.8%126 W · 96 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed ECSTATIC | 37c | 38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed ECSTATIC | 53c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c7…5b3bbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 34.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ECSTATIC | 39c | 33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e90…0bd0backed Eternal Fire | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked ECSTATIC | 40c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 28.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2041backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ECSTATIC | 52c | 20.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed Eternal Fire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 19.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…e64fbacked ECSTATIC | 54c | 19.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fc…76d7backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked ECSTATIC | 56c | 18.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Eternal Fire | 64c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…5080backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 16.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6988…cf2ebacked Eternal Fire | 76c | 16.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Eternal Fire | 73c | 14.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.