Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Murkel Dellien
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3dee30a11c5fe4a69730f7b3108dcdc1d2615f25de2fe83cdc5fcc1c44f5f53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Benito Sanchez Martinezof Benito Sanchez Martinez, Murkel Dellien
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murkel Dellien | 5c | 10,319$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.47 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 79c | 3,638$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Murkel Dellien | 18c | 3,077$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 423 | 32.4%137 W · 286 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Murkel Dellien | 8c | 2,691$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.64 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Murkel Dellien | 28c | 2,690$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.41 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Murkel Dellien | 1c | 1,973$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Murkel Dellien | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 65c | 1,189$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.01 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 77c | 822.49$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.49 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 80c | 557.89$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.58 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf5…e71cbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Murkel Dellien | 17c | 332.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…26d6backed Murkel Dellien | 4c | 299.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…1bfabacked Murkel Dellien | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Murkel Dellien | 8c | 255.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Murkel Dellien | 6c | 230.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 65c | 217.65$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Murkel Dellien | 38c | 215.84$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 78c | 183$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Murkel Dellien | 35c | 114.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc60…64f2backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 66c | 108.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0fd…3798backed Murkel Dellien | 22c | 108.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 116 | 18.1%21 W · 95 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…9713backed Murkel Dellien | 31c | 97.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Murkel Dellien | 33c | 82.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 76c | 63.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Murkel Dellien | 41c | 63.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2959…f256backed Murkel Dellien | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Murkel Dellien | 33c | 57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Murkel Dellien | 19c | 52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01b…e05fbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 73c | 49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Murkel Dellien | 25c | 46.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Murkel Dellien | 28c | 41.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 69c | 26.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.24 | 370 | 58.4%216 W · 154 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 65c | 26.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 66c | 23.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.