Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3eb87e3a6d54fc7e401fdee78801f553279a0b89e6ebb7183f9c573fb0b500d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 1,976$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.03 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 53c | 1,671$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,596$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.16 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 1,441$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.45 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 40c | 1,244$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.77 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,156$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 862.64$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 44c | 533.89$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.29 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed Over | 50c | 399.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…3bd4backed Under | 37c | 362.27$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 74c | 303.76$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 277$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.5 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 73c | 274.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 32c | 265.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Under | 53c | 248.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.46 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…19eabacked Under | 59c | 234.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Over | 50c | 208$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…e1b2backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd829…d60ebacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 64c | 159.96$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.59 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…8f6dbacked Under | 33c | 153.14$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 150.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 56c | 145.87$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 125.76$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 121.13$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 115.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 51c | 112.86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 34c | 107.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20c…bf55backed Under | 28c | 107.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd536…6659backed Over | 51c | 97.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Over | 51c | 81.24$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.81 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +9.4wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Over | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 52c | 76.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 63c | 58.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Under | 39c | 49.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f1…5fd6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Over | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 36.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 34.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 40c | 32.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4d…c5e1backed Over | 49c | 24.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 59c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Kasımpaşa SK (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.