Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Ilary Pistola vs Lucia Bronzetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa436fd002a191258a651714db58f73bd3040e15ca2fb12ab5c6a3dae663902d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Ilary Pistola, Lucia Bronzetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ilary Pistola | 3c | 12,803$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Ilary Pistola | 2c | 8,472$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ilary Pistola | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ilary Pistola | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ilary Pistola | 1c | 3,524$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Ilary Pistola | 32c | 2,396$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.16 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Ilary Pistola | 5c | 1,203$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…5a2bbacked Ilary Pistola | 2c | 1,194$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…a2f8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 1,099$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ilary Pistola | 2c | 942.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Ilary Pistola | 9c | 777$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Ilary Pistola | 7c | 749.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ilary Pistola | 6c | 734$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb804…cd66backed Ilary Pistola | 4c | 648.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 154 | 16.2%25 W · 129 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Ilary Pistola | 6c | 522$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Ilary Pistola | 6c | 428.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ilary Pistola | 5c | 401.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 279.85$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…ea0cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 221.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Ilary Pistola | 8c | 173.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…e46abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 154.12$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Ilary Pistola | 13c | 117.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2b…0be8backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…4a23backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…5922backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 75.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1c…c26fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…3355backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…371dbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 67c | 43.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 41.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Lucia Bronzetti | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lucia Bronzetti | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Palermo: Ilary Pistola vs Lucia Bronzettithis page
- Set Handicap: Bronzetti (-1.5) vs Pistola (+1.5)Bronzetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.