Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4f3b86a265fc9e54f19ddc3bf72c96843173b9924ce91b50177281c3e85b12e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 3,121$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.23 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 3c | 1,582$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 34c | 1,120$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.75 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 66c | 1,090$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd08f…d270backed Yes | 4c | 1,053$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 669.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 34c | 641.18$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 33c | 624.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 561.83$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…8e46backed Yes | 36c | 499.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…d02ebacked Yes | 14c | 457.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 35c | 363.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 347$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 16c | 321.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 36c | 265.83$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 4c | 250.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e40…7d1fbacked Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 38c | 131.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 19c | 99.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes | 40c | 77.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 67c | 71.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 64.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 60.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 40c | 57.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 67c | 32.76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed No | 68c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed No | 67c | 26.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked No | 67c | 21.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 17.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.