Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeaa39a2bb68edf7f936f6203641c77daf4afe4e8f29076ae07ddd1f4199a61c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,559
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 703.31$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.96 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 26c | 700$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 694.72$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 24c | 472.8$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f3…0979backed Yes | 33c | 397.94$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 323.68$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 272.97$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 30c | 250.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 78c | 237.62$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x625d…d02ebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 29c | 165$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.85 | 297 | 42.8%127 W · 170 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 123$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 16c | 114.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 98.1$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed No | 71c | 46.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 22.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…45e9backed No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw?this page
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.