Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4fc483ba1b023849bf46db36254563cc7f7eaf9780e13a58184fea5eb5aa157
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,498
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,498 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed No | 64c | 27,672$17,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,961.88 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +7.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…5408backed Yes | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 39c | 5,054$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.96 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 3,632$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.07 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…f1eebacked Yes | 68c | 2,962$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 64c | 2,800$1,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 66c | 2,762$1,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,819.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 38c | 1,373$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.24 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 63c | 848$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.76 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 60c | 541$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 64c | 469.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 399.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565b…b26abacked Yes | 58c | 363.1$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 56c | 359.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 329$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.51 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 44c | 291.82$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.42 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 45c | 280$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.4 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039a…b09dbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 32c | 252.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.46 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f2a…4304backed Yes | 43c | 242.35$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 56c | 239$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.84 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -5.7wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 50c | 224.55$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 68c | 220.53$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7d…230fbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63aa…c5c8backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81df…d751backed Yes | 70c | 115.71$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 75cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2692backed Yes | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed No | 32c | 109.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +120.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 65c | 100.49$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…6930backed Yes | 59c | 100.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Yes | 39c | 85.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab2…e698backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 39c | 69.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…df1bbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed No | 62c | 49.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed No | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 66c | 47.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…aa7ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14df…b23dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…8d59backed Yes | 36c | 36.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…2276backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a54…e581backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 229 | 27.5%63 W · 166 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 59c | 25.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…3d62backed Yes | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba03…f806backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed Yes | 70c | 18.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2025-09-28?this page
- Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-09-28?No won
- Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.