Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Maria Kalyakina vs Eva Marie Desvignes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa51fedaecb5f3bbe2918dc28be109d6de1f928b14e8bafcd557152ab3b61e356
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eva Marie Desvignesof Maria Kalyakina, Eva Marie Desvignes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,645
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,645 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Kalyakina | 71c | 1,150$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.37 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Maria Kalyakina | 45c | 995.28$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 29c | 600$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 29c | 414.27$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.64 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 30c | 400.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.53 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Kalyakina | 51c | 350.21$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.09 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Kalyakina | 49c | 281.61$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.28 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Maria Kalyakina | 72c | 278.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 624 | 57.7%360 W · 264 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 17c | 275$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.51 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 69c | 243.19$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.52 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 28c | 94.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…4be2backed Maria Kalyakina | 69c | 85.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maria Kalyakina | 47c | 71.46$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Maria Kalyakina | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 28c | 52.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Kalyakina | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…cd6ebacked Maria Kalyakina | 79c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 42c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Eva Marie Desvignes | 43c | 34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Eva Marie Desvignes | 42c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maria Kalyakina | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maria Kalyakina | 69c | 18.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.