Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: High Point Panthers (-14.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa569dfc83b1eb2f541410b298cc1e7d70b479d694ab64a811c38c1254c5a1015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- High Point Panthersof High Point Panthers, USC Upstate Spartans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed High Point Panthers | 50c | 3,397$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.58 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 1,444$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked High Point Panthers | 46c | 442.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 426$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed USC Upstate Spartans | 54c | 422.53$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.53 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed High Point Panthers | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked USC Upstate Spartans | 48c | 384.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.62 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 198.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked USC Upstate Spartans | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 110$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed USC Upstate Spartans | 50c | 58.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed High Point Panthers | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed High Point Panthers | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…95a8backed High Point Panthers | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: High Point Panthers (-14.5)this page
- High Point Panthers vs. USC Upstate SpartansHigh Point Panthers won
- High Point Panthers vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 153.5Over won
- High Point Panthers vs. USC Upstate Spartans: O/U 155.5Over won
- Spread: High Point Panthers (-12.5)High Point Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.