South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa58bd41874f6bbe8cc0f0902f1b71c358270fe327c65e0524426762009aa5891
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 2,499$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.33 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…a795backed Under | 41c | 2,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 2,270$1,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.03 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…7d32backed Over | 31c | 1,654$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854d…deb0backed Over | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…e2b8backed Over | 38c | 537.65$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 42c | 486.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 15c | 455.26$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 37c | 428.38$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 53c | 375.06$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.78 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 58c | 318.96$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…9dacbacked Over | 49c | 229.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 37c | 164$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Over | 32c | 150.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf27…7583backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 37c | 116.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 113.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 46c | 108.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 30c | 104.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 43c | 102.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 42c | 89.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 66.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4c…77bdbacked Over | 54c | 56.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Over | 46c | 50.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +62%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Over | 29c | 34.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Over | 44c | 33.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CD Riestra won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.