NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Utah: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa59e804692788fb974b6d7d2cdb50e68af7dbf1f118f8fcaae8caab8406a8647
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 46c | 4,594$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.39 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 61c | 3,530$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.51 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 61c | 1,155$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.75 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 27c | 1,018$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.75 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 767.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.56 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.1 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Over | 39c | 261.23$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.35 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Over | 39c | 100.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 62c | 100.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 46c | 53.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 42c | 34.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c2…94babacked Over | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 44c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 60c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1937…5372backed Over | 56c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…fbc5backed Under | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…e45abacked Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 5.5this page
- Jets vs. UtahUtah won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 6.5Over won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.