NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Utah: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3644c1452261d1aa8f11126aaec11cdc5bd494f27c29ecefb29937a9cd48af7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,572
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,115
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,572 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 17c | 2,286$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 2c | 1,685$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 22c | 1,434$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.8 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 78c | 1,424$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked Under | 56c | 529.8$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 379.98$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.79 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 70c | 300$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.38 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 299.35$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 76c | 296.25$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 68c | 283.47$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.91 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f0…4064backed Over | 46c | 222.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.8 | 624 | 47.3%295 W · 329 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…bb1dbacked Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…feefbacked Over | 45c | 100.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 37c | 85.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…5d46backed Under | 55c | 80.9$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720b…f155backed Under | 80c | 63.69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 59.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Over | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 73c | 47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 71c | 45$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Over | 44c | 39.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.01 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 28c | 36.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 25.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 56c | 23.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 235 | 59.1%139 W · 96 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 22.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Under | 59c | 20.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -8.2wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9782…9630backed Under | 55c | 19.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. UtahUtah won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 5.5Over won
- Jets vs. Utah: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-1.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.