Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Bethune-Cookman vs. Alabama State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bd0befb3e951829334bbf5867d858be3bfa3db550958063bb26a64a4fca62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bethune-Cookmanof Bethune-Cookman, Alabama State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bethune-Cookman | 37c | 1,888$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.7 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alabama State | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bethune-Cookman | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alabama State | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Alabama State | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…fc73backed Alabama State | 56c | 197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Alabama State | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Alabama State | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…c5a8backed Alabama State | 56c | 162$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bethune-Cookman | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6d…93eebacked Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 139$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5c…ce53backed Alabama State | 56c | 130$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Bethune-Cookman | 41c | 122$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.98 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7680…e64dbacked Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 111$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…b53abacked Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…3984backed Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda01…37fbbacked Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1977…32e8backed Bethune-Cookman | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bethune-Cookman | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Alabama State | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…2ed6backed Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…4c94backed Alabama State | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4754…eb80backed Bethune-Cookman | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.