South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5bf7cef89db8017f53c57c40ceddfbed2928cd6463b58f9a623602503b31114
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 2,165$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.8 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 41c | 872.72$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 56c | 626.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.33 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 264.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 44c | 165.1$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 54c | 107.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 39c | 104.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.87 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 40c | 54.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 42.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 36c | 32.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 27.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3864…a1b8backed Under | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…72aabacked Over | 78c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 72c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.