CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5c847125c05128ad6a3d5409589692f7b6aacdb7b086ddc90ee2564fb966698
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BIGof BIG, Sangal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BIG | 17c | 6,573$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,468.53 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Sangal | 75c | 2,861$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.34 | 465 | 45.6%212 W · 253 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed BIG | 49c | 2,032$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.33 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -10.0wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked BIG | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Sangal | 4c | 840$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked BIG | 43c | 581$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.17 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Sangal | 77c | 477$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.29 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Sangal | 64c | 476.56$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…9131backed BIG | 36c | 357.46$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.48 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d9cdbacked BIG | 49c | 230.16$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffc…177bbacked Sangal | 78c | 230$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…6f98backed Sangal | 55c | 172.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BIG | 19c | 140.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed BIG | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed Sangal | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…ca77backed BIG | 53c | 81.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 182 | 65.9%120 W · 62 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BIG | 22c | 81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…1ad5backed BIG | 56c | 61.41$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -9.5wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2d…4f6cbacked Sangal | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal (BO3)BIG won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Sangal - Map 2 WinnerSangal won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.