Tennis · resolved market
ITF Irvine: Alina Shcherbinina vs Monika Ekstrand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5cbfe2c679a2664bed1bdb9ad79bbfb88ae5c46a1777e5ad9e297ab7d28b948
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alina Shcherbininaof Alina Shcherbinina, Monika Ekstrand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc630…64a3backed Monika Ekstrand | 27c | 1,389$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 73c | 1,022$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.53 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 522.5$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 75c | 500.81$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 68c | 452.5$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Monika Ekstrand | 28c | 353.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alina Shcherbinina | 74c | 335.36$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.92 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c8d…4f5cbacked Monika Ekstrand | 4c | 333.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x905a…d4bcbacked Monika Ekstrand | 27c | 264.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Monika Ekstrand | 47c | 212.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Monika Ekstrand | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 684 | 30%205 W · 479 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Monika Ekstrand | 47c | 144.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Alina Shcherbinina | 53c | 135.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Monika Ekstrand | 41c | 120.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca09…511bbacked Monika Ekstrand | 44c | 101.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.39 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…794abacked Monika Ekstrand | 45c | 81.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alina Shcherbinina | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Alina Shcherbinina | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Monika Ekstrand | 47c | 29.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed Alina Shcherbinina | 53c | 24.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.