Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Andres Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5cc873952cb23f74ce04dbe5a7967ad725d173960bcfcb6abcaf5250ce0c5fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andres Martinof Alafia Ayeni, Andres Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,776 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Alafia Ayeni | 18c | 4,369$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.22 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alafia Ayeni | 11c | 3,726$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Alafia Ayeni | 1c | 1,840$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Andres Martin | 62c | 1,708$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.51 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 10c | 1,245$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Andres Martin | 67c | 679.73$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 14c | 600$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Alafia Ayeni | 32c | 506$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alafia Ayeni | 53c | 505.29$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alafia Ayeni | 32c | 476$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.95 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Andres Martin | 61c | 355.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.17 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Alafia Ayeni | 37c | 354.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 324.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.48 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alafia Ayeni | 23c | 273.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x563c…0dbfbacked Alafia Ayeni | 15c | 257.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Andres Martin | 46c | 215.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.75 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alafia Ayeni | 57c | 211$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.1 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 56c | 203.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Andres Martin | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Andres Martin | 58c | 154.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Alafia Ayeni | 35c | 154.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alafia Ayeni | 12c | 134.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Alafia Ayeni | 33c | 133.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Alafia Ayeni | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Alafia Ayeni | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed Andres Martin | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 215 | 60.5%130 W · 85 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Alafia Ayeni | 15c | 94.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Alafia Ayeni | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Andres Martin | 56c | 77.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alafia Ayeni | 40c | 63.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Alafia Ayeni | 38c | 61.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Andres Martin | 61c | 60.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andres Martin | 74c | 48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Andres Martin | 54c | 45.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alafia Ayeni | 35c | 44.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Alafia Ayeni | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Andres Martin | 61c | 35.85$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…bbaabacked Andres Martin | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 42c | 32.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Alafia Ayeni | 40c | 32.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Andres Martin | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Andres Martin | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Alafia Ayeni vs Andres Martinthis page
- Alafia Ayeni vs. Andres Martin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Ayeni vs. Martin: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Ayeni vs. Martin: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Ayeni vs MartinMartin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.