Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Paris Basketball
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5e5647522bb5370283e3a31836cf8d0174eefe036f7127ead05522dc726f859
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Paris Basketball
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,738
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Valencia | 79c | 1,339$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.34 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 1,155$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.55 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Valencia | 79c | 910.28$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.08 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 664.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.21 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf341…b5f6backed Paris Basketball | 13c | 389.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Paris Basketball | 11c | 305.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Valencia | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…3406backed Valencia | 80c | 250.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 247.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 221$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Paris Basketball | 9c | 218.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Paris Basketball | 15c | 205.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 145$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Paris Basketball | 21c | 143$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Paris Basketball | 22c | 98.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Valencia | 78c | 61.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Valencia | 78c | 45.05$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.