Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: JiaYi Wang vs Varvara Panshina
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa607705ee78aa01e3c27db98c6d394f257f8550c509f83d7bb2f67dbdddd6e01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Varvara Panshinaof JiaYi Wang, Varvara Panshina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed JiaYi Wang | 4c | 1,595$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked JiaYi Wang | 45c | 1,552$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked JiaYi Wang | 49c | 954.2$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.05 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Varvara Panshina | 56c | 873.78$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Varvara Panshina | 55c | 790$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.83 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked JiaYi Wang | 37c | 287.25$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Varvara Panshina | 63c | 186.94$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Varvara Panshina | 72c | 172.46$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked JiaYi Wang | 23c | 152.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed JiaYi Wang | 17c | 116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed JiaYi Wang | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked JiaYi Wang | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Varvara Panshina | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Varvara Panshina | 74c | 89.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Varvara Panshina | 62c | 84.76$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Varvara Panshina | 78c | 80.81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked JiaYi Wang | 45c | 70.98$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Varvara Panshina | 55c | 59.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed JiaYi Wang | 50c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed JiaYi Wang | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Varvara Panshina | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed JiaYi Wang | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Varvara Panshina | 65c | 37.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Varvara Panshina | 58c | 30.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33e…b4b6backed Varvara Panshina | 55c | 20.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed JiaYi Wang | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Varvara Panshina | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Varvara Panshina | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Varvara Panshina | 78c | 13.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.