Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: AZ (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa637656f158ec220f70b6b097173868e2cfb51124a27aaa41c949bfbc7fa6b4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SBV Excelsiorof AZ, SBV Excelsior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1307…9908backed SBV Excelsior | 5c | 5,270$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.95per pick | 5cpaid | +1,900%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd600…9f58backed AZ | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed SBV Excelsior | 52c | 960.46$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.02 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked SBV Excelsior | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked AZ | 48c | 330.46$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.62 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed AZ | 50c | 241$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked AZ | 48c | 160$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked AZ | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed AZ | 48c | 84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d78…29a5backed SBV Excelsior | 51c | 66.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +154.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed AZ | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked AZ | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed AZ | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed AZ | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed AZ | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed AZ | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f65…cdd3backed AZ | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…eb0cbacked AZ | 49c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked AZ | 49c | 33.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed AZ | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked AZ | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed AZ | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked AZ | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked AZ | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked AZ | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: AZ (-1.5)this page
- AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 1.5Over won
- AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 2.5Under won
- AZ vs. SBV Excelsior: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.