Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64291410d5d40e454326a4ff0afdf86625dcfb7a9c4a7e8d68a4d5c42c690ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 46c | 707.55$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.08 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 54c | 699.99$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.99 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 365.06$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.81 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 292.6$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.7 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 56c | 228$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.68 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0571…c3c3backed Under | 55c | 165.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 46c | 159.64$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Over | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Under | 55c | 145.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 54c | 134.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 109$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.22 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Under | 53c | 49.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 46c | 33.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 75c | 31.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Over | 65c | 30.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 47c | 26.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.