Asian League · resolved market
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82ebfb6a59cfedce44a39f06c5cdc0ad756000fdea02b4fb96fcd3d0c7e60d90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 1c | 5,659$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,575.14 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 5,117$3,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,242.6 | 1,306 | 56.9%743 W · 563 L | +67.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Under | 1c | 4,025$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,984.75 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed Over | 15c | 666$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Over | 43c | 443.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 60c | 416.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.44 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Under | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 285.86$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.96 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 63c | 247.57$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under | 50c | 205$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Under | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Under | 60c | 167.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.43 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 23c | 114$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 42c | 110$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 78c | 102.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 95.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 22c | 94.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 41c | 92.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 17c | 76.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 38c | 41.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6e…c234backed Under | 76c | 36.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Under | 62c | 35.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Over | 76c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 70cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 31.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 72c | 16.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 374 | 59.1%221 W · 153 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Incheon United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Incheon United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.