Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup Women League 2: Sussex Women vs Middlesex Women
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64e93e8102e74075ec2b984d4f68bc48adcdb15c9eaeac193ca859605c93a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Middlesex Womenof Sussex Women, Middlesex Women
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sussex Women | 41c | 86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Middlesex Women | 59c | 82.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.76 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Sussex Women | 42c | 71.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Middlesex Women | 58c | 48.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed Middlesex Women | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked Sussex Women | 50c | 24.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…71fcbacked Middlesex Women | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed Sussex Women | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed Sussex Women | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…e4c7backed Middlesex Women | 50c | 21.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.