Tennis · resolved market
Bengaluru 3: Manish Sureshkumar vs Ilya Ivashka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa66377c8286177ce3fc49bcbf37d44decf6930f82225bfc25f5687ae646d6649
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilya Ivashkaof Manish Sureshkumar, Ilya Ivashka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Manish Sureshkumar | 7c | 18,322$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.89 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manish Sureshkumar | 12c | 2,869$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 2,433$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.63 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 4c | 2,359$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.94 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 9c | 1,820$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Manish Sureshkumar | 8c | 1,426$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Manish Sureshkumar | 13c | 894.07$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Manish Sureshkumar | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 333.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Manish Sureshkumar | 14c | 301.64$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.23 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 7c | 297$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 209.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 200.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Manish Sureshkumar | 13c | 190.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 185.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 165.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 220 | 35.9%79 W · 141 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Manish Sureshkumar | 11c | 149.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 138.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 8c | 137.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 327 | 32.1%105 W · 222 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 209 | 57.9%121 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Manish Sureshkumar | 15c | 125.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Manish Sureshkumar | 18c | 86.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 212 | 59.4%126 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Manish Sureshkumar | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.