Other European Leagues · resolved market
Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6bda59b3745a538eec8808bafeda18ce3f93af8da7a2a0d6bac944cb62c2897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 876.65$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 42c | 459.62$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.04 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 405.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 398.9$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.1 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 43c | 398.59$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +7.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 36c | 299.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 23c | 290.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 285.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 62c | 226.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 37c | 177.82$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.86 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Over | 42c | 163.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Over | 57c | 142.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 58c | 135.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 123.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 123.03$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 121.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.75 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 105.74$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.3 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 65c | 95.37$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 59c | 92.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 90.74$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.51 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…7cb3backed Over | 25c | 81.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 66c | 73.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb9…2772backed Over | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 58c | 65.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 21c | 63.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 60c | 40.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 27c | 39.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 59c | 32.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…1327backed Under | 70c | 24.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 66c | 22.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 69c | 19.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 67c | 17.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-1.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: Silkeborg IF (-2.5)Vejle BK won
- Spread: Vejle BK (-2.5)Silkeborg IF won
- Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vejle BK vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.