Champions League · resolved market
Will Lille beat Feyenoord?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f055b983c833b5c0b755806b2feddf0d43bd9ff1c00439e5d1af10ef0609f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 45c | 533.85$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 55c | 493.41$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.38 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c9…bb9ebacked No | 56c | 285.61$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 47c | 254.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.59 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 58c | 161.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.66 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 58c | 155.97$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.19 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 73c | 126.73$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 204 | 62.3%127 W · 77 L | +19.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 43c | 119.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceca…fcdfbacked No | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c83…9015backed Yes | 41c | 49.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6c…94ecbacked Yes | 45c | 40.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616a…dc3abacked No | 55c | 40.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…b606backed No | 53c | 39.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…6869backed Yes | 43c | 38.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…b4f6backed No | 54c | 35.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3944…f100backed No | 29c | 35.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8851…70e4backed No | 53c | 33.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce8…4307backed Yes | 45c | 32.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a47…7bdfbacked Yes | 45c | 32.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 59c | 29.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…6066backed Yes | 45c | 28.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ab…16d3backed Yes | 40c | 27.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc509…205abacked No | 60c | 27.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86dc…9cafbacked No | 56c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74c0…f830backed Yes | 46c | 25.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…91a0backed No | 54c | 25.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…113bbacked No | 56c | 22.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc485…e765backed No | 59c | 21.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7dc…91a6backed No | 55c | 18.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 60c | 16.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7966…4fbcbacked Yes | 71c | 14.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -53%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille beat Feyenoord?this page
- Will Feyenoord beat Lille?No won
- Will the match between Lille and Feyenoord end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.