Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Suzan Lamens vs Anna Kalinskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa754eaf472c4f556e3c04eb36dd70ef3b298a13f0d35c3ea6cbe257549afac25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kalinskayaof Lamens, Kalinskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kalinskaya | 74c | 3,309$2,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.6 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8d…f2c7backed Lamens | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Lamens | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lamens | 32c | 942$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Lamens | 28c | 834.62$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.03 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kalinskaya | 75c | 531.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Lamens | 34c | 399.9$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.27 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kalinskaya | 73c | 290$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lamens | 24c | 275.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa840…2d88backed Lamens | 19c | 252.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Lamens | 25c | 241.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kalinskaya | 74c | 235.56$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.05 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Lamens | 23c | 220.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Kalinskaya | 77c | 183.82$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kalinskaya | 70c | 90.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…82d2backed Kalinskaya | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Lamens | 33c | 71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Lamens | 24c | 50.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…333bbacked Kalinskaya | 80c | 36.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Kalinskaya | 79c | 21.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.