CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa779809a0bfe7a0c18a45866d0c95541e99f0e786b9aad244e38ebc040b064d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zomblersof Zomblers, regain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zomblers | 53c | 743.82$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked regain | 38c | 657$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.66 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Zomblers | 47c | 641.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Zomblers | 48c | 509.59$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.89 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Zomblers | 55c | 466.54$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.17 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked regain | 62c | 459.02$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.14 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed regain | 64c | 416.51$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.66 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed regain | 76c | 404.55$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.69 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed regain | 16c | 388.38$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed regain | 45c | 299.55$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.82 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed regain | 8c | 211.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Zomblers | 57c | 187.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.03 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Zomblers | 60c | 175.03$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zomblers | 56c | 147.61$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked regain | 45c | 103.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.47 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Zomblers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…f519backed Zomblers | 58c | 87.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Zomblers | 53c | 66.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed regain | 41c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Zomblers | 58c | 51.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed regain | 74c | 51.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed Zomblers | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed regain | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked regain | 56c | 48.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Zomblers | 46c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed regain | 76c | 42.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked regain | 59c | 39.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed regain | 61c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed regain | 46c | 31.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Zomblers | 61c | 29.82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaca…51d1backed regain | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed regain | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed regain | 68c | 14.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffsregain won
- Counter-Strike: Zomblers vs regain - Map 1 Winnerregain won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.