TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
WHITEBIRDof ex-Zero Tenacity, WHITEBIRD
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf6f9…bff5backed WHITEBIRD51c3,948$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,946.0626046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb555…0c4bbacked WHITEBIRD53c1,676$896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.469038.9%35 W · 55 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity38c1,549$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.443,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity46c1,478$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.217,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed ex-Zero Tenacity33c827.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed ex-Zero Tenacity54c281$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.11,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked WHITEBIRD61c255$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4513540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity31c190.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8389…db1bbacked WHITEBIRD55c183.18$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.437636.8%28 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ex-Zero Tenacity43c172.47$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.346,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed WHITEBIRD62c161.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa775…ab33backed WHITEBIRD55c99.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9919554.4%106 W · 89 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity33c98.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.135,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed WHITEBIRD40c39.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5595849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28b…8125backed ex-Zero Tenacity46c25.1$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.