CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8328b7dca163b5320a8ddef2f40a15e2ed1397c67a29053a4647aec69030b50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof ODDIK, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,238
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK | 57c | 1,057$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.39 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ODDIK | 56c | 1,023$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.52 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 54c | 1,014$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marsborne | 46c | 897.39$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.59 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed ODDIK | 58c | 759.54$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marsborne | 45c | 411.5$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.15 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne | 34c | 367.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Marsborne | 30c | 316.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.38 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ODDIK | 62c | 271.95$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.57 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marsborne | 46c | 252.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…4812backed ODDIK | 34c | 243.52$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked Marsborne | 31c | 206.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.06 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed Marsborne | 54c | 206.31$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Marsborne | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked ODDIK | 45c | 200$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.32 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Marsborne | 45c | 142.16$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.16 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed Marsborne | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ODDIK | 51c | 129.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Marsborne | 14c | 85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked ODDIK | 58c | 81.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Marsborne | 52c | 76.41$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed ODDIK | 23c | 67.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Marsborne | 27c | 65.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ODDIK | 77c | 65.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ODDIK | 69c | 63.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Marsborne | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Marsborne | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Marsborne | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Marsborne | 45c | 50.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 324 | 43.5%141 W · 183 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Marsborne | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Marsborne | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ODDIK | 55c | 44.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ODDIK | 58c | 41.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Marsborne | 47c | 40.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.31 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Marsborne | 48c | 35.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 470 | 53.2%250 W · 220 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Marsborne | 36c | 34.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Marsborne | 53c | 32.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Marsborne | 45c | 30.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a39…fa93backed Marsborne | 47c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Marsborne | 50c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked ODDIK | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 271 | 50.6%137 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group BMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 2 WinnerMarsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.