CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2de90e5b8ee2da6ab1ce09ad476c9fef7e74c01704bd3ca8e2342be96e1044bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marsborneof ODDIK, Marsborne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,219
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,219 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Marsborne | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.96 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ODDIK | 55c | 1,836$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed ODDIK | 38c | 1,833$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.38 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed ODDIK | 51c | 1,569$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked ODDIK | 24c | 1,307$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.64 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Marsborne | 45c | 900$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marsborne | 46c | 897.28$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Marsborne | 52c | 720.17$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.43 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Marsborne | 69c | 475.06$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Marsborne | 70c | 400$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5454…ceadbacked ODDIK | 45c | 386.09$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.45 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Marsborne | 71c | 292.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed ODDIK | 12c | 256.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.39 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4969…6d77backed ODDIK | 52c | 225.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 227 | 34.4%78 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Marsborne | 48c | 217.78$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ODDIK | 52c | 208.87$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ODDIK | 52c | 195.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked ODDIK | 51c | 172.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed ODDIK | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.83 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked ODDIK | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaed7…088dbacked Marsborne | 41c | 116.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ODDIK | 52c | 114.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed ODDIK | 48c | 113.34$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Marsborne | 63c | 107.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Marsborne | 65c | 106.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7939…2bbfbacked Marsborne | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed ODDIK | 46c | 102.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.02 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ODDIK | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Marsborne | 30c | 99.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.09 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked ODDIK | 70c | 94.69$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed ODDIK | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ODDIK | 50c | 69.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.66 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ODDIK | 41c | 69.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Marsborne | 65c | 69.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Marsborne | 62c | 68.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Marsborne | 78c | 64.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked ODDIK | 23c | 63.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed ODDIK | 26c | 55.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked ODDIK | 39c | 46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed ODDIK | 46c | 44.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ODDIK | 71c | 38.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Marsborne | 69c | 33.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Marsborne | 45c | 31.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd18b…876dbacked ODDIK | 52c | 28.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ODDIK | 55c | 27.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Marsborne | 50c | 23.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Marsborne | 63c | 22.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Marsborne | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group BMarsborne won
- Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs Marsborne - Map 1 WinnerMarsborne won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.