College Football · resolved market
O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8438c957ec22a0d3e3991fabc376548dec1c9ee053c99b17148134a24fe707d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $183,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Under | 51c | 75,857$38,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,810.2 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Over | 48c | 71,896$34,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,132.88 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 50c | 12,184$6,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 9,232$4,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,756.83 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 51c | 8,841$4,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.41 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 8,080$3,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,120.8 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 52c | 6,510$3,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.2 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 49c | 4,610$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.04 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 48c | 4,329$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,231.96 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 49c | 2,200$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 52c | 1,550$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Over | 48c | 1,500$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63af…0a25backed Over | 48c | 1,500$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x637a…6d23backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +14.8wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2457…7d5bbacked Under | 52c | 790$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…293ebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Over | 48c | 292$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 41cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…208abacked Over | 49c | 275$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7351…58fcbacked Over | 49c | 268$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…37debacked Over | 49c | 258.16$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Over | 48c | 225$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 54c | 218.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 53c | 129$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under | 46c | 120.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.63 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4f…3d87backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5340…5e2bbacked Under | 52c | 114.73$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.0wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Under | 52c | 53.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 46c | 28.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 47.5this page
- Spread: UTEP (-2.5)UTEP won
- Spread: UTEP (-3.5)UTEP won
- UTEP vs. Sam Houston BearkatsUTEP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.