CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa848f36a80ab01eb258670b3e7cfeaa3c753bb172db9e63bb5bf43cb2bce3ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 687.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MANA eSports | 69c | 578.53$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7a…a930backed HyperSpirit | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 142.51$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 139.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…8063backed HyperSpirit | 41c | 130.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MANA eSports | 73c | 121.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 118.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 109.81$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MANA eSports | 59c | 100.52$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 92.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed MANA eSports | 67c | 76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff2…8ea1backed MANA eSports | 48c | 62.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 59.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked MANA eSports | 48c | 52.48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 29.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6e…8024backed MANA eSports | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group CMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.