CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4ff1cec66ee00c650782ce03c57029dba2a767ade0ae4f6218c874eaf52592
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MANA eSportsof MANA eSports, HyperSpirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x928a…8044backed MANA eSports | 61c | 2,738$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.58 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MANA eSports | 56c | 644.66$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.65 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MANA eSports | 60c | 517.3$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.92 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…2a39backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed MANA eSports | 56c | 444.3$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed MANA eSports | 45c | 439.96$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.98 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HyperSpirit | 15c | 428.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MANA eSports | 65c | 382.4$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 322.21$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.42 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 306.6$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 282.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6a…1ddbbacked HyperSpirit | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee90…dc63backed HyperSpirit | 47c | 213.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534f…7820backed HyperSpirit | 24c | 167.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +116.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 164.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HyperSpirit | 29c | 161.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed HyperSpirit | 60c | 160.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 139.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HyperSpirit | 48c | 133.13$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.55 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked MANA eSports | 58c | 128.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 249 | 39.8%99 W · 150 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 126.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…870ebacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 124.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked HyperSpirit | 41c | 114.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked HyperSpirit | 36c | 109.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 107.45$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 107$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked MANA eSports | 63c | 101.06$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed MANA eSports | 50c | 99.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 309 | 51.5%159 W · 150 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked HyperSpirit | 40c | 93.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 92.59$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 70.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked MANA eSports | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0776…b9d4backed MANA eSports | 61c | 65.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked HyperSpirit | 41c | 54.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked MANA eSports | 64c | 47.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 99 | 70.7%70 W · 29 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked HyperSpirit | 39c | 41.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed HyperSpirit | 48c | 41.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked HyperSpirit | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed MANA eSports | 50c | 37.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed MANA eSports | 51c | 34.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MANA eSports | 59c | 34.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed HyperSpirit | 36c | 33.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe58e…2ee8backed HyperSpirit | 42c | 32.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed HyperSpirit | 47c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…b00bbacked MANA eSports | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MANA eSports | 78c | 31.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…b161backed MANA eSports | 80c | 30.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed MANA eSports | 64c | 27.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…4485backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 24.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…97e6backed MANA eSports | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MANA eSports | 75c | 22.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1 Play-In Group Cthis page
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit - Map 1 WinnerMANA eSports won
- Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs HyperSpirit - Map 2 WinnerMANA eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.