Tennis · resolved market
Lille: Loann Massard vs Justin Engel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84c144e13ca51ec1a4b60a8b085424d79c60fef220100d2ea64d592db5a6b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Engelof Massard, Engel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Massard | 27c | 4,140$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.78 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Engel | 65c | 3,892$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Massard | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Massard | 25c | 963.38$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.31 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Engel | 68c | 539.56$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Engel | 68c | 369.96$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Engel | 75c | 364.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.24 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Massard | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…6405backed Engel | 79c | 253.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Massard | 26c | 251.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Massard | 21c | 205.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Massard | 31c | 167.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Engel | 74c | 165$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Engel | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 825 | 60.5%499 W · 326 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Engel | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Engel | 55c | 134$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.86 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Massard | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Massard | 21c | 100.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Engel | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Engel | 77c | 91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Massard | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Massard | 25c | 57.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Engel | 70c | 53.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Engel | 74c | 45.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…8125backed Massard | 29c | 45.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Engel | 53c | 45.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Engel | 73c | 35.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Engel | 76c | 35.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Engel | 78c | 34.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Engel | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Engel | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Engel | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a1…64a3backed Engel | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Engel | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Engel | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.