Premier League · resolved market
Berhalter sacked before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa84d663260999655a6de1bf94dd5d74962edc97ed4e0b20a54a1382a4226542e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 9c | 2,756$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 13c | 554.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Yes | 72c | 325.1$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 53c | 308.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…a395backed No | 47c | 86.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…765abacked No | 49c | 84.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd13b…1747backed Yes | 40c | 74.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +131.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…132fbacked Yes | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e70…9047backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…becdbacked No | 77c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…a235backed Yes | 50c | 39.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418a…b076backed Yes | 70c | 38.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ce…b35cbacked Yes | 32c | 31.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +214%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 60 | 26.7%16 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3519…4182backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…999abacked Yes | 56c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.