Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 East Lansing Men: Justin Roberts vs Tyler Bowers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa891a2dedb9602e27be3b5470cc072feec70f50724e9e607d2a565fd40a55e34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tyler Bowersof Justin Roberts, Tyler Bowers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Tyler Bowers | 43c | 14,843$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,435.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Justin Roberts | 57c | 10,005$5,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,702.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52f…dc59backed Justin Roberts | 12c | 3,772$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 11cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Justin Roberts | 4c | 3,363$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.59 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Justin Roberts | 56c | 2,358$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fe…359dbacked Justin Roberts | 28c | 1,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa249…08b6backed Justin Roberts | 1c | 883.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8421…4e30backed Justin Roberts | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 548.48$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.64 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 450$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Justin Roberts | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 335 | 50.1%168 W · 167 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 291.15$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.85 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Justin Roberts | 18c | 200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 427 | 48.7%208 W · 219 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Justin Roberts | 56c | 187$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf76…ffeabacked Justin Roberts | 30c | 182$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 347 | 29.4%102 W · 245 L | -35.6wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Justin Roberts | 56c | 72.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tyler Bowers | 40c | 63.95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.37 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Justin Roberts | 57c | 63.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked Justin Roberts | 57c | 58.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Justin Roberts | 58c | 54.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Justin Roberts | 58c | 53.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3c…8290backed Justin Roberts | 60c | 50.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Justin Roberts | 60c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Justin Roberts | 56c | 48.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 259 | 51.7%134 W · 125 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Justin Roberts | 57c | 43.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Justin Roberts | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Justin Roberts | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Justin Roberts | 50c | 30.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Justin Roberts | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Justin Roberts | 57c | 17.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.