Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Stephanie Judith Visscher vs Maria Martinez Vaquero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8cb6041cee29b5481668927b9299ed12c6f06fa93e130964a589eabf207ec8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Martinez Vaqueroof Stephanie Judith Visscher, Maria Martinez Vaquero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 36c | 910.98$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.41 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 42c | 364.83$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 15c | 294.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 70c | 285$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 43c | 260.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.47 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 58c | 140$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 44c | 128.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 49c | 123.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 29c | 109.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 58c | 72.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 59c | 53.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 65c | 52.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 42c | 42.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 64c | 39.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 66c | 32.33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Stephanie Judith Visscher | 58c | 24.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 42c | 24.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Stephanie Judith Visscher | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 74c | 17.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.