TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
KFUM-Kameratene Osloof Lillestrøm SK, KFUM-Kameratene Oslo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,716
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,716 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5a…87efbacked Lillestrøm SK22c2,224$500 inLost-$5001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo63c1,495$942 inWon+$553.097,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Lillestrøm SK17c1,176$200 inLost-$20011237.5%42 W · 70 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Lillestrøm SK32c639.59$205 inLost-$205.132,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9879…47dcbacked Lillestrøm SK22c453.74$102 inLost-$101.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo77c243$187 inWon+$55.8932436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c220.46$172 inWon+$48.591148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo78c57$44 inWon+$12.542,54352.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7629…226cbacked Lillestrøm SK40c50.05$20 inLost-$20.022552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo77c39.2$30 inWon+$8.8417650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo79c37.97$30 inWon+$7.972060%12 W · 8 L-3.6wins-0.18per pick78cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed KFUM-Kameratene Oslo79c27.85$22 inWon+$5.852560%15 W · 10 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4993…553fbacked KFUM-Kameratene Oslo79c24.46$19 inWon+$5.145470.4%38 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.