CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa90ba7e087f844c59e563a8a50a1d14401c53a51bf469e303bcea4c7a77fb909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Misa Esports | 57c | 2,521$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.52 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Lavked | 42c | 1,020$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.47 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Lavked | 42c | 959.91$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.75 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Lavked | 42c | 558$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.64 | 79 | 40.5%32 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Lavked | 45c | 482.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.6 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports | 58c | 330.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.24 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Lavked | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.23 | 921 | 45.8%422 W · 499 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Lavked | 42c | 285.71$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Lavked | 42c | 242.86$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.26 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Lavked | 41c | 149.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.47 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Lavked | 40c | 106.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Misa Esports | 57c | 98.6$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Misa Esports | 58c | 32.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Misa Esports | 55c | 32.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…f9b4backed Misa Esports | 58c | 26.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Misa Esports | 60c | 19.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)Misa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.