CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f3f37dce1ce6225820c1553219cfc90e2e9926c81c12eb6b7ad25b5f4fe133d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,934
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,934 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lavked | 76c | 1,580$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.11 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports | 26c | 1,285$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Misa Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Misa Esports | 23c | 818$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.72 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 555.7$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.15 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 80c | 524.25$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Misa Esports | 30c | 509.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.92 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Misa Esports | 25c | 499.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.49 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Misa Esports | 25c | 483.63$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.6 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lavked | 74c | 422.74$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Lavked | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…55d2backed Lavked | 70c | 370.04$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.57 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Lavked | 69c | 290$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Misa Esports | 13c | 276.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Lavked | 75c | 247.28$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Misa Esports | 11c | 214.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked | 72c | 194.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Misa Esports | 24c | 190.44$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 77c | 186.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Misa Esports | 7c | 179.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Lavked | 70c | 166.1$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Lavked | 71c | 128.17$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b2…0ab9backed Lavked | 74c | 110.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Misa Esports | 21c | 104.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lavked | 79c | 89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Misa Esports | 22c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Misa Esports | 15c | 79.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 21c | 78.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2a…7682backed Misa Esports | 31c | 63.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Lavked | 74c | 63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Lavked | 76c | 62$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Lavked | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Misa Esports | 26c | 43.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4efd…02eabacked Lavked | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Misa Esports | 31c | 33.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lavked | 73c | 29.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…ccb5backed Lavked | 79c | 25.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc890…c2ffbacked Lavked | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group BLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Misa Esports (+3.5)Misa Esports won
- Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)Lavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.