La Liga · resolved market
Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa96e8aa5ffe8fb87584ad5172004d390a4dbd6b85f6ec3b703b8dcbda9a9adef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Under | 47c | 20,000$9,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.26 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 53c | 11,789$6,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,540.62 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,873$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.81 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 53c | 1,988$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.36 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 1,819$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.93 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 485.8$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.32 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 53c | 279.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 53c | 235.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Over | 53c | 187.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Over | 53c | 168.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 47c | 62.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Over | 53c | 60.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 64c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 72c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 75 | 73.3%55 W · 20 L | +20.9wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 54c | 18.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Racing Club vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.