CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa974eb731110733f3db9224bfc65ddc15b5629351c085cc81918975e5ba3ea2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ursaof Ursa, BIG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,223 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Ursa | 67c | 6,789$4,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240.73 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked BIG Academy | 41c | 4,437$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.44 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Ursa | 72c | 3,892$2,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.56 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Ursa | 70c | 3,879$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.59 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG Academy | 25c | 2,716$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Ursa | 67c | 2,627$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.53 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 72c | 1,199$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.07 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ursa | 69c | 1,132$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BIG Academy | 22c | 1,000$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.7 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Ursa | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG Academy | 33c | 830.5$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked BIG Academy | 28c | 821.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.61 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…a09bbacked BIG Academy | 30c | 746.19$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.56 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…bcabbacked Ursa | 52c | 573.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…834ebacked Ursa | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Ursa | 60c | 438.96$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BIG Academy | 40c | 435.3$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed BIG Academy | 39c | 430$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 151 | 42.4%64 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Ursa | 64c | 300$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…a1b6backed BIG Academy | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked BIG Academy | 27c | 276.05$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.38 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked BIG Academy | 41c | 274$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG Academy | 25c | 258.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed BIG Academy | 16c | 241.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Ursa | 70c | 208.31$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed BIG Academy | 36c | 207.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed BIG Academy | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BIG Academy | 28c | 166.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed BIG Academy | 25c | 101.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Ursa | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed BIG Academy | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a7…203fbacked Ursa | 65c | 98.46$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BIG Academy | 25c | 88.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed BIG Academy | 23c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked BIG Academy | 20c | 74.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed BIG Academy | 24c | 72.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked BIG Academy | 37c | 68.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Ursa | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked BIG Academy | 31c | 59.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed BIG Academy | 22c | 51.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed BIG Academy | 33c | 42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BIG Academy | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed BIG Academy | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked BIG Academy | 37c | 37.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…30a1backed Ursa | 60c | 33.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f705backed BIG Academy | 41c | 30.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BIG Academy | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked BIG Academy | 48c | 28.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…aea0backed Ursa | 57c | 22.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9889…b214backed BIG Academy | 54c | 19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…a434backed Ursa | 78c | 17.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsUrsa won
- Counter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy - Map 1 WinnerUrsa won
- Map Handicap: URSA (-1.5) vs BIG Academy (+1.5)Ursa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.